Mourning for Khamenei’s Death: A Hypothetical Crisis Scenario and Its Global Consequences

Iran Leadership Succession Crisis

Under Iran’s constitution, the Assembly of Experts is responsible for selecting a new Supreme Leader.

Possible outcomes might include:

• Appointment of a senior cleric aligned with existing policy

• Formation of a temporary leadership council

• Expanded political role for the IRGC

• Internal factional negotiation

A sudden leadership transition during military crisis would complicate decision-making processes.

Succession uncertainty often increases political instability in centralized systems.