Mourning for Khamenei’s Death: A Hypothetical Crisis Scenario and Its Global Consequences

U.S. and Israeli Strategic Calculations

If such a strike were to occur, possible strategic objectives might include:

• Disrupting command structures

• Deterring nuclear development

• Demonstrating military reach

However, risks would include:

• Prolonged regional conflict

• International condemnation

• Strengthening hardline factions within Iran

Military action in geopolitically sensitive environments carries unpredictable second-order consequences.