Protests Supporting Iran’s Supreme Leader: Last Chance for Diplomatic Resolution in 2025

13. Impact on Global Security and Future Conflict Risks

The wave of protests, especially those supporting Iran’s leadership, could potentially influence regional security dynamics:

• Increased Proxy Conflicts: Iran’s allies in Lebanon, Yemen, and Syria might feel emboldened, escalating proxy conflicts.
• Military Escalation: Western nations, especially the U.S., face increased pressure to respond militarily or diplomatically, risking escalation.
• Nuclear Proliferation Risks: Iran’s insistence on its nuclear rights, reinforced by domestic and diaspora support, complicates efforts to curb nuclear proliferation.

However, with sustained diplomatic efforts, there’s a possibility to de-escalate tensions, especially if Iran’s leadership perceives a genuine willingness from global powers to engage constructively.