Iran-US-Israel Conflict Escalation 2025: US Strikes Iranian Nuclear Sites & Global Protest Movements
Scenario 2: Military Confrontation and Regime Change
Description:
Escalation following US and Israeli strikes leads to open conflict, possibly involving regional allies. A sustained military campaign could weaken Iran’s regime or trigger internal upheaval.
Implications:
- Significant regional destabilization, potentially drawing in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states and other regional powers.
- Humanitarian crises and refugee flows.
- Potential regime change if internal dissent intensifies or military failures occur.
Potential Outcomes:
- A new government emerges, possibly more moderate or more hardline.
- Iran’s military infrastructure is significantly damaged, delaying its nuclear ambitions.
- Long-term regional insecurity and increased proliferation risks.
